# Casualty Counts and Combatant Estimates Hub: [[Topics/Gaza War Destruction and Casualty Data/Gaza War Destruction and Casualty Data|Gaza War Destruction and Casualty Data]] ## MoH totals as reported at the time These come from the [Tech for Palestine daily compilation](https://data.techforpalestine.org/api/v2/casualties_daily.json) of MoH reports, which was downloaded on Oct 24, 2026. | Date | Killed (cum.) | Injured (cum.) | @seekersomething chart, deaths | |---|---:|---:|---:| | 2023-10-31 | 8,525 | 21,543 | 10,838 | | 2023-11-30 | 14,800 | — | ≈19.1K (26.52% of 72,166) | | 2023-12-31 | 21,822 | — | 28,878 | | 2024-01-31 | 26,900 | 65,949 | ≈32.7K (45.33%) | | 2024-02-29 | 30,035 | 70,457 | 35,033 | | 2024-12-31 | 45,541 | — | 53,030 | | 2025-08-31 | 63,459 | — | 68,889 | | 2025-10-10 | 67,211 | 169,961 | — | | 2025-10-31 | 68,643 | 170,655 | 72,166 ("Oct 2025") | | 2026-03-14 | 72,234 | — | (first date at or above 72,166) | | 2026-10-24 | 74,540 | 175,678 | — | - **His death numbers run 2.3K–7.5K above MoH's figures at the same dates** ⚠️. They may be a later series back-filled by date of death (his only stated source is sehatty.ps), but this is not confirmed. - **Costs of War** (Neta Crawford): 67,075 killed and 169,430 injured as of Oct 3, 2025 ([link](https://costsofwar.watson.brown.edu/paper/HumanTollGaza)). ## Independent estimates - **Gaza Mortality Survey** (Spagat et al., *Lancet Global Health*, 2026), covering Oct 7, 2023 to Jan 5, 2025 ([PubMed](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41722607/)): - 75,200 violent deaths (95% CI 63,600–86,800), against MoH's 49,090 - women, children under 18 and people over 64 were 56.2% of them - a further 16,300 non-violent deaths - a later *Lancet GH* piece raises concerns about interviewer-level heterogeneity ⚠️ - **Henry Jackson Society** ("Questionable Counting", Andrew Fox): argues that MoH lists include natural deaths and miscoded ages and sexes, and estimates more than 5,000 natural deaths ([HJS](https://henryjacksonsociety.org/publications/questionable-counting/)). - **Israeli acceptance:** on Jan 29, 2026, Israeli media cited a senior security source accepting that more than 70,000 had been killed; an IDF official said the reports "did not reflect official IDF data" ([BBC](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgpd1x00exo)). ## Combatant claims | Source | Figure | Link | |---|---|---| | IDF public statements | Dec 2023: 7,860 (official assessment). Feb 2024: 13,000, then 12,000. Aug 2024: 17,000. Nov 2024: "close to 20,000" (Netanyahu). Jan 2025: 20,000 (Halevi) | [+972](https://www.972mag.com/israeli-intelligence-database-83-percent-civilians-militants/) | | Israel before the ceasefire | 22,000 combatants in Gaza, plus 1,600 in Israel | [BBC](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgpd1x00exo) | | Leaked Aman database (May 2025) | About 8,900 named Hamas and PIJ operatives dead or probably dead (7,330 certain). The IDF disputed this | [+972 / Guardian / Local Call](https://www.972mag.com/israeli-intelligence-database-83-percent-civilians-militants/) | | @seekersomething | "around 30,000 fighters", from "demographics" (no method given) | [post](https://x.com/seekersomething/status/2114004923213893763) | | @Aizenberg55 (reposted by him) | "5,300 confirmed Gaza combatants killed by name" | X repost, Oct 24, 2026 (not verified ◻) |