# Steven Crowder: "80% the Next President is a Democrat" ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat.webp]] **Channel:** TRIGGERnometry (hosts Konstantin Kisin and Francis Foster) · **Guest:** Steven Crowder · **Length:** 1:57:51 · **Published:** 2026-11-04 · [Watch on YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E) > [!note] Source notes > Transcript: YouTube auto-generated English captions (via TubeAlfred, about 26.4k words) after yt-dlp and youtube-transcript-api were bot-checked. Video download was blocked, so the screenshots are YouTube storyboard frames (low resolution, upscaled). Auto-captions mishear some names; corrected spellings are noted where the speaker's meaning is clear. The last ~12 minutes after 1:57:00 are the start of the paid Substack Q&A teaser and are not covered. Hosts are mostly referred to as "a host" because the captions do not label speakers. ## TL;DR - Crowder, who calls himself further right than Tucker Carlson or Nick Fuentes, says the right's split is driven by commentators who have been **"remarkably inconsistent"**, not by a principled disagreement. - He claims his team "ran the numbers": if Democrats take both chambers, there is an **80% chance a Democrat wins in 2028**, and sitting out in protest just hands them power. - **Woke 2.0** = the same agenda sold in new packaging (consent redefined as "trauma response", compelled pronouns framed as children's rights). He doesn't believe Democrats who now say trans issues "were never a big deal". - **Economic populism** can be free-market in the US because Americans believe in, and experience, class mobility; housing, college and healthcare are expensive because they are the most subsidized and regulated sectors. - On Brazil, he says Flávio Bolsonaro's passport was seized over something Eduardo Bolsonaro said on his show. - On **conspiracy media** (the "retardosphere" a host describes), his test is evidence: provide references for every claim, and drop creators who don't. - Closing topic: shows like *Call Her Daddy* give young women no good role models; he cites data on unrealistic dating expectations and falling female happiness. ## Outline ### [0:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=0s) Trailer and opening ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00030.webp]] *Steven Crowder at the TRIGGERnometry table* - Cold-open clips: "clip culture has ruined everything," woke 2.0, "these people are Marxists." - [1:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=91s) Crowder asks for a "gentleman's agreement" that the conversation should be fun, then rattles off the edgy topics (Jews, blacks, trans kids, Mexicans) so clip-hunters can get it out of the way. He calls the rest "the veneer of a conversation." - Small talk about the hosts' US trips (rural Michigan, Hillsdale College, a data center being built). ### [1:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=88s) Steven Crowder's journey to the right ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00100.webp]] *Crowder tells his life story* - Born in Detroit, raised in Montreal from age 3 (French-Canadian mother, American father); describes Quebec as "effectively socialism." - Left to do stand-up at about 17–18. Appeared on Fox News at 21, placed on debate panels with Alan Colmes or Alicia Menendez (captions: "Alan Combs"). - Didn't know who Sean Hannity was; in Canada the occasional pirated Rush Limbaugh came in from Plattsburgh, NY. - Wanted to do stand-up after seeing **Norm Macdonald** at Montreal's Just for Laughs festival (he thinks in 1994) while working as a seat filler. - A drama teacher called him a "right-wing zealot" at 12; raised in a Christian household. - Was cancelled from college gigs for jokes about Islam and feminism; first acting job was the PBS show *Arthur* (he says he voiced "the Brain"). - [6:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=407s) He says he was dropped by a manager and an agent after *The Daily Show* asked for "someone like Steven Crowder... but we don't do conservative," while Jon Stewart publicly said they "just chase the funny." ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00330.webp]] *Wide shot of Crowder with the hosts* ### [8:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=483s) Trump's victory and the MAGA divide ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00500.webp]] *The hosts, Konstantin Kisin and Francis Foster* - A host recalls election day 2024: Republicans won the House, Senate, popular vote and presidency, no riots, and a mood that wokeness was over, Ukraine would end, no new wars, the right would be united. "It's been less than two years. What happened?" - Crowder on 2020: Arizona was called with too little of the vote and he felt powerless, so for 2024 his show paid for the same newswires as Reuters and AP, plus data analysts. He claims they were the first to call Georgia and Pennsylvania. - Mentions demonetization and the "Vox adpocalypse" ("cancelled before cancel culture was coined"). - He calls Trump's immigration record the best of any president and says Trump's cultural impact ("there are only two genders") would have been bannable on YouTube before. ### [11:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=664s) Trump's record and foreign policy ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00700.webp]] *Crowder on the Iran war* - On the **Iran war**: Trump has talked about Iran since the 1980s (he cites '87 and '92 interviews and pre-X tweets during Obama's presidency), so it's "not betrayal." He's unhappy with how it has been carried out and communicated ("I said give it three months. Well the three months are up"). - Rejects claims that "Iran hasn't killed a single American." - Calls himself further right than Tucker Carlson or Nick Fuentes ("I won't vote Democrat"), a Christian conservative and nationalist, but says the basis "has to be truth." - He says the left "is wrong prescriptively about everything" and runs through education, border numbers (he gives 10–20 million illegal immigrants under Biden at $150–450 billion a year, calling these broad strokes), abortion, free speech and gender. ### [14:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=851s) Is the left abandoning free speech? ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t00900.webp]] *Crowder makes the case on free speech* - A host pushes back: comedians like George Carlin and Bill Hicks were targeted by religious conservatives. Crowder answers that Hicks aimed at both sides and that Sam Kinison was embraced. - His point: comedy clubs were fine with vulgarity, but jokes about feminists or Muhammad made "the sphincters pucker." Censorship as a movement is on the left. - He says he warned audiences not to repeat "Obama deported more" because removals and turnaways were counted differently. He claims deportations are higher than under any recent administration and that immigration is the issue everything else depends on. - [17:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1063s) *Ad: Ethos (life insurance).* ### [18:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1133s) The future of the Republican Party - A host cites Kalshi odds for the next GOP nominee (JD Vance had been above 50%, now about 38%, still well ahead of Marco Rubio) and asks about the Israel fight and figures like Tucker attacking the administration. - Crowder mocks "which Tucker?" (bow-tie CNN Tucker, fly-fisherman Tucker, legalize-drugs Tucker) and says Tucker nearly endorsed Abdul El-Sayed. - [20:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1215s) **The 80% claim:** "if, let's say, God forbid, the left flips the Senate... and they have both chambers... There's an 80% chance that Democrats would win in 2028." He adds that whoever replaces Trump as the GOP nominee will historically be a Romney or a McCain type, so protest non-voting hands power over. - Valid criticism of the administration, he says, is that it rewarded whoever "kissed his ass the most" with appearances. He was "supportive... and critical" throughout while others went from sycophants to enemies. - [22:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1350s) He says Dave Smith twice called him a "never Trumper" on TRIGGERnometry, which he denies. He only opposed Trump in the 2016 primary. He complains that new media doesn't correct errors, and says his show provides a reference for every factual claim. ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t01550.webp]] *Crowder on where MAGA goes after Trump* - [24:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1440s) Post-Trump MAGA: still nationalist, strong borders, with a growing social and religious component ("if you kill God, you don't end up with not God... something else wearing God's robe"). ### [25:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1525s) Trump's changing economic views ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t01700.webp]] *Crowder on tariffs and trade* - What has he changed his mind on? He's "more racist... by the left's definition" ("I don't think that everyone can be an American"), and on trade he went from libertarian free trade to "equalizing the playing field." - He jokes about renouncing his Canadian citizenship on his show and says the US should "seize complete control" of Canada's border; Canada's tariffs on US dairy, beef, steel and lumber protect industries that couldn't otherwise survive. - He sees immigration as the issue Trump made non-negotiable, and credits Trump with exposing media bias and compelled language. ### [27:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1640s) The culture war's lasting impact - "Everything is downstream from culture." Jordan Peterson was drawn in by compelled language (Canada's Bill C-16). "They want to own the dictionary and they want to put you in jail if you don't follow it." ### [30:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1850s) Why woke 2.0 could be worse ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t01880.webp]] *Crowder explains "woke 2.0"* - A host: under woke 1.0, saying men can't be women got your Twitter account banned. How could 2.0 be worse? - Crowder recalls being demonetized during the adpocalypse even though, he says, Susan Wojcicki said at a Recode conference that he hadn't violated policy. He describes a panic attack during YouTube's call and says the opaque "borderline content" rule is known in the industry as "the Crowder rule." - [31:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1860s) His analogy: a child caught reaching for the cookie jar learns to be sneakier. Woke 2.0 is woke 1.0 after it got caught. ### [32:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1927s) The changing definition of consent ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t01960.webp]] *Crowder on consent and the "Cornell" case* - He argues that after #MeToo was rejected (Aziz Ansari's date as an example), activists moved to redefining consent: conscious, follow-up consent can be called a "trauma response." - He brings up a group-sex case he calls the "Cornell Seven/Eight," and is surprised that people on the right also condemned the men. He also mentions Lindsay Clancy. ### [34:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2044s) How the left repackages woke ideas ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t02100.webp]] *The hosts on the David Pakman interview* - A host says that when they raised trans issues with progressive YouTuber David Pakman (captions: "Packman"), he said it had been over-discussed. Crowder doesn't believe the retreat: Democrats won't concede the principle, as when Gavin Newsom told Charlie Kirk he had never backed biological men in women's sports. - "I am not going to disagree with any other group more consistently than the left." ### [37:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2230s) Abortion and Democratic politics ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t02260.webp]] *Crowder on abortion and the DNC platform* - He says no one on the DNC platform will accept any limit on abortion, and cites politicians declining to back born-alive bills. - [37:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2250s) "what people would view as the radical right-wing view is more reasonable than the moderate left view." - Challenged to name a reasonable Democrat on trans issues, a host offers Tulsi Gabbard and Andrew Yang. Crowder says Tulsi was "drummed out" and lists Harris, Biden, Warren, Sanders, Newsom, Talarico, AOC and El-Sayed. - Predicts the agenda returns as compelled language and "parental responsibility" framing. He criticizes Bernie Sanders for praising Lula: "These people are Marxists... If they can compel language, they will." - [40:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2432s) *Ad: Shopify.* ### [41:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2492s) Economic populism and class mobility ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t02550.webp]] *Crowder on free-market populism* - A host (Francis) predicts economic populism, embodied by Zohran Mamdani, will be the next battleground. Banter about South Americans' rivalries (Crowder's partner is Brazilian). - [43:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2610s) A host describes the new UK budget: minimum wage about £27k, with the "top rate" starting in the £50ks and an effective penalty zone above £100k. - [44:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2655s) Crowder: the US can have a **free-market populism** (cut spending, entitlements, foreign entanglements, taxes) because of **class mobility**. He cites a figure that about 70% of Americans will be in the top 20% of earners at some point. The hosts joke about checking it with sponsor Venice AI. - Contrasts the US with Brazil and India. A Brazilian shopkeeper is promised freedom from mob appeasement, not prosperity. - "If I double the income... of every single person... there'll be more wealth inequality, but you will be far richer." He calls COVID lockdowns a huge wealth transfer to Bezos and Zuckerberg: Costco open, farmers markets closed. - [49:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2970s) A host's steelman: money printing let asset holders (boomers, Gen X) pull away "because they bought a house for $3 in 1973." Crowder agrees that both boomers and Gen Z have points: Gen Z wastes money ($9 cold brew), but the necessities that got expensive (housing, college, healthcare) are "the three categories... that have seen the biggest pieces of legislation." ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t03050.webp]] *Crowder on housing, college and healthcare costs* - He recalls a Fox News debate during the housing crash (with Lanny Davis or Doug Schoen) in which he argued banks only lend to people who can't repay if someone else picks up the tab. Afterward John Stossel told him he talked too much, and his opponent said, "you're wrong, kid's right." - His fixes: let foreclosures clear supply, allow insurance across state lines, stop federal checks to colleges. ### [50:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=3000s) Immigration and the welfare state - [57:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=3420s) On Mamdani-style socialism: he doesn't think it will play in Oklahoma but won't predict. Bernie was "the movement candidate," and some Bernie voters moved to Trump. - Mocks wealthy socialists (Bernie's three houses, AOC's Tesla, Lula's Ralph Lauren shirt): "it is theft with a... publicist. That's all socialism is." ### [56:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=3390s) Charity, tipping and personal responsibility ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t03450.webp]] *Crowder on charity and the "vicious poor"* - Conservative Christians give the most. He cites "Brooks" and *Who Really Cares* and retells Scrooge in *A Christmas Carol* as a parable of voluntary charity. - Tells a story about Bernie Sanders tipping exactly 18% on a latte. The hosts note the British don't tip for coffee. - A host (Konstantin) on voluntary giving vs. state redistribution being called "empathy" in Europe. - Bono's ONE charity and Live Aid ("we basically funded a genocide and a warlord"); soda on SNAP, with Coca-Cola as a lobbyist. - Separates people with hard breaks (Jimmy Braddock repaying relief) from what he says the founders called the "vicious poor." "You can have a giant welfare state or you can have open borders. Pick one." - Earlier immigrants (Irish, English, German) arrived with shared values and no public benefits, he argues. ### [1:06:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=3976s) Brazil's political crisis ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t04000.webp]] *Crowder on Brazil and the Bolsonaros* - He had Eduardo Bolsonaro on his show. After an election he doubts was clean, a judge he identifies as Moraes (Alexandre de Moraes; captions: "Stevan Moraes"), whom he calls "the most corrupt man... in our hemisphere," seized or froze Flávio Bolsonaro's passport. The basis, he says, was Eduardo saying on Crowder's show that he wanted his brother to leave for the US because Lula had promised to come after the family. - Hears no criticism of "jailing your political opponents" from democratic socialists. ### [1:09:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=4149s) Why political debate is broken ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t04200.webp]] *Crowder on steelmanning* - His pattern from debates on Fox, HLN, BBC and Sky: the left readily attributes evil intent to the right but can't state the right's arguments, while the right is more charitable about intent and can state the left's arguments. - Describes his Harvard debate (after offering $10,000 to Ivy League schools for an opponent) with a professor tenured since 1989 who had clerked for Thurgood Marshall: "I was finishing his phrases." - His test: ask people to steelman the other side on guns, abortion, speech and socialism. He estimates "a ratio of about 10 to 1" in favor of the right. He also says the left supports political violence more, and mentions Charlie Kirk. ### [1:12:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=4351s) How generations shape political views ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t04400.webp]] *Crowder on millennial conservatives* - Born in '87, he says a millennial who comes out of public school, MTV, network news and university still conservative "had to defend their view every single day," while the default liberal never did. "Give them a seat and you've got AOC," and he mocks the 11-page Green New Deal. - Says his early book (essentially *Change My Mind* in chapters, written before "SJW" or "woke" were terms) was turned down by every major conservative publisher. - A host agrees the left dominates by imposing defaults through education. People who stray get called Nazis, while a right-leaning person says, "fair enough, but I'm glad we agree on X." ### [1:15:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=4525s) The rise of right-wing conspiracy media ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t04560.webp]] *A host raises the Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson phenomenon* - A host asks about what he calls the "retardosphere" after Charlie Kirk's murder, naming Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson. Examples: Churchill as WWII's villain, Erika Kirk killed Charlie, Brigitte Macron is a man, Israel was behind taking Maduro. - Crowder says Alex Jones "did believe what he said" and was right more often, citing the Guatemala syphilis experiments that Hillary Clinton apologized for. ### [1:18:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=4705s) Evidence, truth and conspiracy theories ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t04800.webp]] *Crowder on evidence as the anchor* - "The anchor... has to be truth." He argues the left targets truth-finding institutions: justice, due process, math and classical logic. - For the conspiracy claims, "There are assertions, there is no evidence." He defends Lindsay Clancy's husband, and on the .30-06 "no exit wound" argument he says bullets do weird things, citing deer hunting and Martin Luther King Jr. - He sees the audience as heavily female and into true crime, not the core Trump voter. He disputes a host's view that Candace Owens was once good at relaying Thomas Sowell's arguments. - Fabrication economy: a fake story about Jack Reacher actor Alan Ritchson (captions first say "Alan Rickman") learning through a paternity test that a child wasn't his, which he says reached about 2 million; a fake Tom Cruise will story. - [1:24:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5085s) History of new media: Joe Rogan's early webcam shows and Tom Green Live. "We went from the truth more interesting than the lie, and now the lie is more interesting than the truth." - A host: the mainstream ruined fact-checking (BBC Verify), and responding amplifies. - Crowder calls himself a "free speech absolutist" and explains why "fire in a crowded theater" is misunderstood, but thinks accounts that knowingly and repeatedly invent claims shouldn't be there. Advice: **"If you watch someone and they don't provide references on a regular basis for factual claims... move on."** ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t05600.webp]] *Crowder on soap operas and truth claims* - A soap opera is fine "as long as everyone involved knows it's a soap opera." Banter about Mexican telenovelas, Canadian acting, British desserts (sticky toffee pudding) and Montreal bagels. - [1:32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5540s) The mug exchange: Crowder gives the hosts his hand-etched mug, the merch that "kept us afloat when we were demonetized," and tells the story of being waterboarded by SEALs and Rangers for a Christmas telethon while holding it. - A host's rule: "you talk, I talk, and we engage with what each other's saying." In their experience, only the progressive left breaks that rule. - [1:36:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5770s) He mentions his lawsuit over a CNN segment that copied the *Change My Mind* format with James Talarico (same font and colors). - He calls the left Marxists ("look at everything through the lens of Marxism. Who's the oppressor? Who's the oppressed?"). Unity on the right should mean "fighting the left." The internet is at a fork: legacy media made irrelevant, or dead internet theory. ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t06400.webp]] *Wide shot during the clip-culture exercise* - A host names "clip culture 2.0": long-form conversations planned for clips. Crowder demonstrates how easy grift is by answering sample questions conspiratorially (Iran war "funded by the Jews," Erika Kirk's leather pants). - **Israel position:** no blank checks; Israel would come out ahead if the US stopped funding everyone in the region. Shares intel and purchases when interests align. AIPAC "should probably register under FARA," and so should foreign money to universities (Qatar, China) and ActBlue-style donors. Israel has the right to exist. A host calls it a moderate view; Crowder says he's still an extremist. - Rejects the genocide label for Gaza on population grounds, with dark jokes about Hitler. ### [1:45:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=6359s) What's the one thing we're not talking about? ![[Images/Steven-Crowder-80-percent-next-president-Democrat-t06700.webp]] *Louise Perry, Mary Harrington and Freya India appear on screen* - His answer: ***Call Her Daddy*** and the lack of good role models for young women. Feminism is how Marxism "got a hold in the western world" through the breakdown of gender norms. - Recalls telling Dave Rubin around 2016 that he opposes same-sex marriage, as distinct from civil unions, because mothers and fathers aren't interchangeable. - Men can piece together good advice even from flawed figures (Andrew Tate on fitness and finances, Joe Rogan on a "strenuous life"), but he says there is "nothing good for women to pull from" in *Call Her Daddy*. Tradwife influencers are "a gimmick" (mentions Andrew Wilson). - The hosts point to guests Louise Perry and Mary Harrington. A host says healthy women are often not content creators because they are busy being mothers. - Men hold each other accountable (war, friendship), while women can go long stretches without that, which makes a fantasy easy to sell. - **Data he cites:** a study where women rated men on a 1–10 scale and "over 80% of the men were below statistical average," while men's ratings of women formed a bell curve. Women's happiness is falling year by year relative to men's. "We promised young women that they could have it all and they did get everything except happiness." - [1:57:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=7020s) Ends with a teaser for the Substack Q&A ("Is there an area of modern life where you think the free market genuinely fails...?"). ## Standout quotes *(Verbatim from auto-captions; small punctuation fixes only.)* - [20:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1215s) "if, let's say, God forbid, the left flips the Senate... and they have both chambers... There's an 80% chance that Democrats would win in 2028." - [21:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1260s) "The only consistency that I see is that the people doing the fracturing have been remarkably inconsistent." - [24:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1465s) "if you kill God, you don't end up with not God, you just end up with, you know, something else wearing God's robe." - [27:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=1640s) "They don't want to have a conversation the left. They want to own the dictionary and they want to put you in jail if you don't follow it." - [37:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2250s) "what people would view as the radical right-wing view is more reasonable than the moderate left view" - [48:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=2880s) "if I double the income right now of every single person in the United States, uh, there'll be more wealth inequality, but you will be far richer." - [1:04:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=3870s) "you can have a giant welfare state or you can have open borders. Pick one." - [1:26:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5170s) "we went from the truth more interesting than the lie, and now the lie is more interesting than the truth." - [1:29:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5350s) "If you watch someone and they don't provide references on a regular basis for factual claims that they make, uh you should probably move on to someone else." - [1:30:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5400s) "there is nothing wrong with a soap opera as long as everyone involved knows it's a soap opera." - [1:35:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dtjhtm_TW2E&t=5715s) (host) "The rule of conversation is you talk, I talk, and we engage with what each other's saying." ## Things mentioned ### Books and written works - ***Who Really Cares*** by Arthur C. Brooks: cited ("I think it was Brooks") for the claim that religious conservatives give the most to charity. - ***A Christmas Carol*** by Charles Dickens: Scrooge used as a parable about voluntary charity versus taxation ("Are there no prisons? Are there no poorhouses?"). - Thomas Sowell's writing (no specific title): a host says Candace Owens used to relay his arguments. - Crowder's own early book (no title given): rejected by every major conservative publisher, "basically *Change My Mind* but with chapters." - The Green New Deal resolution (mocked as 11 pages). ### People - **Hosts:** Konstantin Kisin, Francis Foster. - **Comedy and media influences:** Norm Macdonald, David Letterman, John Stossel, Jerry Seinfeld, Dame Edna, Michael Richards, Jon Stewart, George Carlin, Bill Hicks, Sam Kinison, Gilbert Gottfried, Joe Rogan, Tom Green, Rob Schneider, Al Roker, Aziz Ansari. - **Fox and early debates:** Alan Colmes, Alicia Menendez (and her father, Sen. Bob Menendez), Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh, Lanny Davis or Doug Schoen. - **US politics:** Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, AOC, Gavin Newsom, Zohran Mamdani, Abdul El-Sayed, James Talarico, Tulsi Gabbard, Andrew Yang, Hakeem Jeffries, Mazie Hirono, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, John McCain, George W. Bush (impressions). - **Right-of-center media:** Tucker Carlson, Nick Fuentes, Candace Owens, Alex Jones, Dave Smith, Ben Shapiro, Dave Rubin, Charlie Kirk, Erika Kirk, Jordan Peterson, Andrew Tate, Andrew Wilson, Louise Perry, Mary Harrington (Freya India also appears on screen). - **Left-of-center media:** David Pakman. - **Tech and platforms:** Susan Wojcicki (YouTube), Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg. - **Brazil:** Lula, Eduardo Bolsonaro, Flávio Bolsonaro, Alexandre de Moraes; Jair Bolsonaro is implied. - **Other:** Bibi Netanyahu, Nicolás Maduro, Brigitte Macron, Winston Churchill, Hitler and Himmler (jokes), Alan Ritchson, Tom Cruise, Johnny Depp, Lindsay Clancy and her husband, Bono, Freddie Mercury, Jimmy Braddock, Martin Luther King Jr., Thurgood Marshall. ### Shows, organizations and places - *Louder with Crowder* / *Change My Mind* format; *Arthur* (PBS); *The Daily Show*; *Call Her Daddy*; Jubilee; CNN; Fox News, HLN, BBC, Sky News; BBC Verify. - YouTube's "borderline content" policy ("the Crowder rule"); the Vox adpocalypse. - Just for Laughs (Montreal); Hillsdale College; Harvard. - AIPAC, FARA, ActBlue, SNAP, Coca-Cola, Live Aid, Bono's ONE. - Canada's Bill C-16; Kalshi (prediction market). - Sponsors: Venice AI, Ethos, Shopify, Kalshi. ## Biographies - **Steven Crowder.** Comedian and conservative commentator, host of *Louder with Crowder* and the *Change My Mind* street-debate format. In this interview he says he was born in Detroit (he says '87) and raised in Montreal by a French-Canadian mother and an American father. He started stand-up as a teenager, was a Fox News contributor at 21, and had an early acting job on PBS's *Arthur*. He describes himself as a Christian conservative and nationalist, has trained in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and his partner is Brazilian. He is suing CNN over its use of the *Change My Mind* format. - **Konstantin Kisin.** Co-host of TRIGGERnometry and a stand-up comedian (per the channel description). On the show he is described as a Russian expat, and he says he is "officially English now." - **Francis Foster.** Co-host of TRIGGERnometry and a stand-up comedian (per the channel description). The banter suggests Venezuelan heritage on his mother's side ("my mom hates everybody") and an Irish father's side. ## Claims check - **80% Democratic win in 2028 if Democrats take both chambers.** This is Crowder's own team's modeling, with no method shown. *Unverified.* - **"70% of Americans will be in the top 20% of earners at some point."** This matches life-course research by sociologists Mark Rank and Thomas Hirschl, who found a majority of Americans (around 70%) spend at least one year in the top fifth of the income distribution. Most of those stints are brief, so it measures movement, not lasting wealth. *Broadly supported, with that caveat.* - **"Obama deported more" is misleading because turnaways were counted differently.** It's true that Obama-era totals mixed formal removals with border returns and that methods changed between administrations, so cross-administration comparisons need care. Crowder's claim that Trump's second-term deportations are the most of any recent administration isn't sourced in the video. *Partly supported.* - **Bill Hicks' last Letterman set was pulled over Christian-conservative backlash.** His 1993 *Late Show* set was cut before broadcast (aired in 2009). The censored material centered on religion and pro-life jokes, not mainly gay jokes as the host describes. *Mostly accurate on the cut, loose on the content.* - **The "borderline content" rule as "the Crowder rule."** YouTube tightened its harassment and borderline policies in 2019 after the Carlos Maza/Vox dispute over Crowder's videos. "The Crowder rule" is Crowder's own label. *Context accurate; label is informal.* - **Women rated over 80% of men below average.** This matches the well-known 2009 OkCupid data blog post, which is dating-site data and not a peer-reviewed study. *Supported as cited, limited source.* - **The US ran syphilis experiments in Guatemala and Hillary Clinton apologized.** The 1946–48 US Public Health Service experiments are real, and the US government apologized in 2010. *Accurate.* - **MLK was killed by a .30-06 with no exit wound.** He was shot with a .30-06 rifle, and the bullet lodged in his body. *Accurate.* - **Bernie Sanders owns three houses.** This has been widely reported (Washington DC, Burlington and a Lake Champlain camp). *Accurate.* - **Bono's ONE gave "less than 1%" to charity.** Reports around 2008 showed ONE spent a tiny share on direct grants, but ONE is an advocacy group, not a grant-making charity. *Misleading framing.* - **Live Aid "funded a genocide and a warlord."** There were long-standing allegations that Ethiopian famine aid was diverted to rebels and the regime, and the BBC withdrew some reporting on the scale of the diversion. *Contested; overstated.* - **UK minimum wage about £27k with the "top rate" in the £50ks.** The £50k-plus threshold is the 40% higher rate, not the 45% top rate. The effective ~60% band between £100k and about £125k (the personal-allowance taper) is real. *Partly accurate.* - **Bagels came through Montreal before New York.** Bagels were documented in New York in the late 1800s, while Montreal's famous bakeries date from the early 1900s. *Doubtful.* - **Gaza "genocide" population argument and the Hitler jokes.** This is rhetorical and not a factual claim that can be checked as stated. --- *Summary by Grok Bot from the TRIGGERnometry video. Screenshots are YouTube storyboard frames.*